Event

In 2013, the international financial market remained stable on the whole with a moderate global economic growth, but the impetus was still insufficient. Moreover, problems of sovereign debt of developed countries failed to make substantial progress. Meanwhile, economic growth of emerging economies slowed down. With a narrowed fluctuation of price, global oil market enjoyed a relatively optimistic balance between supply and demand. Ship-owners, however, still had a tough time due to the capacity excess.

The oil tanker market has a good start this year. According to the report from Clarksons, volume of global oil shipping this year will have a year-on-year growth of 2.5%, which is higher than the growth of capacity. Demand for crude oil tanker is about 285 million DWT, with a year-on-year growth of 1.6%, which is slightly higher than the supply growth. Thanks to this, the surplus of tanker capacity is gradually relieved. It is forecasted that gross global capacity surplus will be around 13%, with a year-on-year decrease of 1%.

More and more analysts believe that the tanker market will soon gain a reversion in trend. With a steady economic recovery and a continuous development tendency, the market also has a higher expectation of global crude oil demand. Meanwhile, the lower growth rate of new orders, the high proportion of vessels’ delayed delivery, the accelerating growth of ship breaking, all these factors will cast strong effects on the growth of shipping capacity. Will there be any improvement on the S-D structure of oil shipping market? When will the long-awaited recovery happen?

1. Oil Company/Trader                       30%

2. Ship Owner                                  29%

3. Broker/Agent/Forwarder                16%

4. Terminal/Port Authority                  9%

5. Others                                        16%

September 24th， Wednesday

Macro Economy & Energy Pattern

Global Macro Economy & China’s Economic Regulative Policies

How will new energy like shale oil and shale gas impact the consumption market of traditional energy?

The Past and Future of Teapot Refineries--Analysis of Changes in China’s Crude Oil Import pattern and Key Variables

Analysis of changes in China’s crude oil import pattern and involved factors. Key words: import process, crude oil reserves, Shanghai International Energy Exchange

Analysis of mapping, capacity and output of China’s teapot refineries, Industry Review & New Project Update

Analysis of feedstock import of China’s teapot refineries: Crude Oil VS Fuel Oil

How will crude oil import permits to teapot refineries impact China’s energy import and shipping market

Domestic tanker shipping market

Major shipping lanes of crude oil/ refined oil/fuel oil

Status quo & forecast of capacity and freight

Influence of oil pipelines on the domestic tanker shipping market

International Shipping Market - Analysis and Forecast of NB / Demo, Capacity, Freight

VLCC--Freight rates of major lanes in Asia is dropping recently but ship-owners remain confident. When will freight rates increase?

Suezmax--With sharp decrease in crude oil trade volume of West Africa - East America lane, what to do with Suezmax?

Aframax--With small new order delivery and large demo volume, is it going to embrace the long-expected recovery?

Product Tanker--Shift of global refining market and increasing demand of developing countries have facilitated the development of it. However, with a lot of new orders, crisis seems to be lurking.

Can operating costs of Ship-owners be lowered?

Analysis of fuel oil price

Super slow steaming

NB/ new delivery/ operating cost of eco ships

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