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11th Oleochem Outlook 2014

Time:2014-07-02 -07-03location:shandong qingdaoshi

In the China Development Forum 2014, Mr. Liu Shijin, the Deputy Director of Development Research Center of the State Council, presented and predicted the tendency of China's economy. He said that now China’s economy had entered into a transition period of economic growth and it might have reached its bottom. However, as the economy grows slowly and RMB undervalued, what changes will be brought about to the development of Oleochem industry?

Upon feedstock, the price of palm oil has fallen from its recent peak after remaining strong during the end of 2013 to the beginning of 2014. The statistics of shipping research institute—IT&SGS shows that month-to-month export volume of Malaysian palm oil decreased 11%~12% in March, which effectively curbs the price increase of palm oil. However, with the revolution of bio-fuels, the co-movement of crude oil and vegetable oil’s premium, and capriciousness of palm oil industry and policies, how to operate the fluctuation of palm oil price? How to predict the recent tendency of domestic “slow reaction” market?

In 2013, the EU anti-dumping law to Argentine and Indonesian biodiesel reduced the operating rate of biodiesel manufacturers and tighten the crude glycerin supply, which had driven glycerin’s price up to more than $ 400 and increased its import volume to more than 500,000 tons in that year. In October, the price of crude glycerin started to fall, so did the price of domestic refined glycerin afterwards. In the year of 2014, the market sees the low operating rate of ECH and slack demand from downstream industry. Therefore, has the price of glycerin reached the bottom? how will the market of develop in the future?

In fatty alcohol industry, the newly built manufacturers and the manufacturers with new expansion capacities have drown a lot of attention since 2013, such as Zhejiang Jiahua Energy Chemical Industry Co.,Ltd. and Jiangsu Hsintai Chemical S&T Corp., Ltd. What is the current status? With the growing demand from the downstream industry of daily use chemical caused by economic development, will it trigger more capacity expansion? Besides, will there be new technical change in surfactants? Facing the changes in consumer demand, how should players develop new applications?

Event Highlights

  • The speed of economic development has slowed down, how will the oleochem industry chain structure react ?
  • The palm oil market has been going through ups and downs, how to analyze gaints’ influence on market?
  • On the issue of EU anti-dumping to Argentine and Indonesian biodiesel, who will be the winner?
  • The glycerin price fluctuates, and the operation rate of ECH is low, how these glycerin refineries respond?
  • The capacity of fatty alcohol is increasing, will the surfactant industry experience a booming market?
  • What is potential market demand for daily chemicals and surfactant industries?


In the China Development Forum 2014, Mr. Liu Shijin, the Deputy Director of Development Research Center of the State Council, presented and predicted the tendency of China's economy. He said that now China’s economy had entered into a transition period of economic growth and it might have reached its bottom. However, as the economy grows slowly and RMB undervalued, what changes will be brought about to the development of Oleochem industry?

Upon feedstock, the price of palm oil has fallen from its recent peak after remaining strong during the end of 2013 to the beginning of 2014. The statistics of shipping research institute—IT&SGS shows that month-to-month export volume of Malaysian palm oil decreased 11%~12% in March, which effectively curbs the price increase of palm oil. However, with the revolution of bio-fuels, the co-movement of crude oil and vegetable oil’s premium, and capriciousness of palm oil industry and policies, how to operate the fluctuation of palm oil price? How to predict the recent tendency of domestic “slow reaction” market?


In 2013, the EU anti-dumping law to Argentine and Indonesian biodiesel reduced the operating rate of biodiesel manufacturers and tighten the crude glycerin supply, which had driven glycerin’s price up to more than $ 400 and increased its import volume to more than 500,000 tons in that year. In October, the price of crude glycerin started to fall, so did the price of domestic refined glycerin afterwards. In the year of 2014, the market sees the low operating rate of ECH and slack demand from downstream industry. Therefore, has the price of glycerin reached the bottom? how will the market of develop in the future?


In fatty alcohol industry, the newly built manufacturers and the manufacturers with new expansion capacities have drown a lot of attention since 2013, such as Zhejiang Jiahua Energy Chemical Industry Co.,Ltd. and Jiangsu Hsintai Chemical S&T Corp., Ltd. What is the current status? With the growing demand from the downstream industry of daily use chemical caused by economic development, will it trigger more capacity expansion? Besides, will there be new technical change in surfactants? Facing the changes in consumer demand, how should players develop new applications?

  • By Industry
  • Palm oil manufactures
  • Fatty acid manufactures
  • Fatty alcohol manufactures
  • Glycerin manufactures
  • Surfactant manufactures
  • Detergent manufactures
  • Additives manufactures
  • Daily chemical manufactures
  • Futures
  • Institutes & associations
  • By Position
  • CEO
  • Marketing and Sales
  • Strategic Development
  • Project Management
  • Purchasing Department
  • Production Management
  • Operations Management
  • Technology R&D
  • Finance and Financing
  • Investment Planning
  • Market Research

 

Day 1 | July.2 | Wednesday

08:00-09:00 Conference sign in
09:00-09:45 Chinese Economic Outlook and Policies Analysis
Review of macro economy background in China 2013/2014
Study on political direction after Central Economic Working Conference
Opportunities and challenges of oils & oilseeds industry
09:45-10:30 Supply-demand and Consumption Overview of Industrial Palm Oil in China Market
Map of overseas palm oil supply and influence of tariff changes
Consumption review of industrial palm oil and its demand outlook in China
Price analysis of industrial palm oil and price prediction
10:30-11:00 Coffee Break
11:00-11:30 Overview of Global Biodiesel Development and its relevance on Oleo Industry
Latest review of biodiesel industry development in global perspectives
Vegetable oil supply situation outlook in 2014
Forecast of the palm oil price with some economic relevant factors
11:30-12:00 Panel Discussion – Market Arbitrage and Options trading: agricultural products
12:00-14:00 Lunch Buffet
14:00-14:30 Palm Oil Supply and Demand Outlook in Indonesia
Total supply and production situation of palm oil in Indonesia(including kernel oil)
Trading flow and price prediction of palm oil together with new changing tax policy
China’s role on the total palm oil industry in Indonesia
Speaker: GAPKI, Fadhil Hasan, Executive Director
14:30-15:00 Palm Oil & Kernel Oil Price Outlook in Malaysia
Total supply and production situation of palm oil in Malaysia (including kernel oil)
Market Factors analysis on S&D pattern
Speaker: MPOB, Ooi Cheng Keat, General Manager
15:00-15:30 Application of Coconut Oil in Oleo Chemicals Industry and Its Supply-demand Forecasting
Application overview of coconut oil in oleo chemicals industry
Production and demand forecast of coconut oil 2013/2014
15:30-16:00 Coffee Break
16:00-16:30 Supply-demand Outlook of Fatty Acid
Market analysis of domestic fatty acid 2013
Analysis of import & export of fatty acid and feedstock market 2013
The supply and sales analysis and price forecast of fatty acid in the first half of 2014
Speaker: Wilmar Oleochemicals, Hao Feng, Marketing Director
16:30-17:00 Scenario Analysis of Oleic Acid in China and Its Downstream Application Exploration
Fast-growing oleic industry and its rapid-increasing demand from downstreams
Pattern distribution of oleic acid industry chain in China and Asia
Analysis of the co-movement between oleic acid and other oleo chemical products
18:00-20:00 Beach BBQ Dinner & Bonfire Party


Day 2 | July.3 | Wednesday

Fatty Acid-glycerin Session
9:00-9:30 Changing Market Outlook for Glycerin in South America Region
Overview of the supply & demand pattern for biodiesel and crude glycerin market in Brazil
The biodiesel and glycerin supply changes after anti-dumping combat
New origins for glycerin supply in Europe
9:30-10:00 Rising Crude Glycerin Market: supply–demand outlook of Southeast crude glycerin
Indonesia biodiesel market after anti-dumping
Will Thailand be main supplier of crude glycerin after B7 plan
New crude glycerin source tracking in SEA
10:00-10:30 Promising and Choppy GECH Market
Enterprise scale and operating rate overview of GECH
Consumption states of overall ECH market
New profitable ways out for GECH
10:30-11:00 Coffee Break
11:00-11:30 Price Curve of Fatty Acid/ Glycerin in Asia
Overview and outlook of fatty acid in Asia
Overview and outlook of glycerin in Asia
Speaker: ICIS Singapore
11:30-12:00 Coating Market under the Macro Economic Situation
Real estate industry’s influence on coating market
Development review of the coating market of recent years
Coating market’s demand for glycerin and its development trend
Fatty Alcohol-surfactant Session
09:00-09:30 Asia Fatty Alcohols S&D Pattern Outlook in Asia
Overview of fatty alcohols production and total supply in Asia
Consumption and demand for fatty alcohols in downstream
Trading flow and future trends for fatty alcohol industry development
Speaker: Union Oleochemicals, Hu Jiehua, Managing Director
9:30-10:00 Comparison and Trends of Major Surfactants’ Affects in Daily Chemicals
Scenario of current major surfactants and their usage in daily chemicals
Latest development of these new and eco-friendly surfactants with market demand trend
10:00-10:30 EO’s Application and Development Trend in the Field of Detergent
Development states of ethylene chain and its domestic consumption situation
Market states of EO in China and its industry character
EO’s application in the field of non-ionizing surfactants and its forecast of development trend and price
Speaker: Liaoning Oxiranchem, Inc., Zhu Jianmin, Managing Director
10:30-11:00 Coffee Break
11:00-11:30 Market Overview and Outlook for Homecare Industry: Tracking industry growth
Scenario of current homecare industry with its changing dynamics
Homecare products: future trends for performance requirements
The demand for green, eco-friendly surfactants and its usage in downstream
Speaker: Unilever, Aseem Puri, Senior Marketing Director
11:30-12:00 Market Outlook for New Eco-friendly Surfactants and Downstream Usage
More and more complicated market requirements and trends for daily chemical products
More and more severe environment protection requires for surfactants
Current research introduction for vegetable oil based surfactants and its usage in downstreams
12:00-14:00 Buffet Lunch
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For more information please contactJill Zhang +86 21 5155 0809
Fax:+86 21 5155 1608
Email:jillzhang@cbichina.com